01 Jan 2024
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Pakistan, which is facing a severe gas shortage that has crippled its power sector and industries, will receive a liquefied natural gas cargo from Italy’s ENI SpA on Jan. 18 as scheduled, averting a potential supply disruption, government officials said on Dec 27. ENI, one of the long-term LNG suppliers to Pakistan, had earlier indicated that it might not be able to deliver the cargo. However, the company later confirmed that it would honor the contract as per the LNG term agreement. ENI signed a 15-year term agreement with state-owned PLL in May 2017 under which ENI was to provide an LNG cargo per month up to 2032. Under the deal, ENI was to provide per month cargo at 11.6247 percent of the Brent for the first two years, 11.95 percent for the following two years, and 12.14 percent for the remaining 11 years. ENI is bound to provide PLL with a total of 180 cargoes in 15 years at the PGPL terminal moored in Port Qasim. When ENI first communicated, the official said, some weeks back that it would not be able to provide cargo in January 2024, the top notches in the ministry turned upset and started working on more gas load management. However, later on, ENI confirmed to the relevant authorities that it would not back out but rather would provide the cargo on time. This is how the surge in the current gas crisis with more deficit of 250 mmcfd would have lasted for two weeks in January 2024 which is now averted.
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ENI confirms LNG cargo in January
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Pakistan’s current economic model is not working: World Bank
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Pakistan’s current economic model is not working since it has fallen behind its peers, significant progress in poverty reduction has now started to reverse, and the benefits of growth have accrued to a narrow elite, observes World Bank Country Director Najy Benhassine. “There is a broad consensus that action is needed to change policies that have plagued development, benefitted only a few, and led to very volatile and low growth,” Mr. Benhassine stated in a Policy Vision article, published in the latest UNDP publication. Pakistan is heavily exposed to climate change, with the potentially devastating impacts of climate shocks and natural disasters already apparent, he said in Development Advocate Pakistan, the UNDP’s quarterly development magazine providing a platform for Pakistan’s authorities, civil society and intelligentsia to exchange ideas on key development solution pathways in the country.
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The federal government has declined to absorb Pakistan International Airlines’ (PIA) Rs263 billion debt, instead proposing to settle dues with nearly a dozen domestic commercial banks using the privatisation proceeds of the airline. The finance ministry, supported by Prime Minister Anwarul Haq Kakar, rejected the proposal to merge PIA’s Rs263 billion debt into the public debt. The PM office did not respond to a request for comments despite repeated attempts. This decision follows the national airline defaulting on over Rs17 billion in debt repayments to seven commercial banks by early December, according to the government sources. Of the Rs17 billion, an amount of Rs5.8 billion has been overdue for more than three months, they added. Finance Minister and Privatisation Minister conducted a series of meetings to address PIA’s ongoing financial troubles. Despite the privatisation minister briefing the prime minister on progress with PIA debt restructuring, the finance minister rejected three key proposals to include PIA’s debt in the public debt. The finance minister argued against leaving a negative legacy by incorporating a corporation’s debt into public debt.
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Govt rejects absorbing PIA’s Rs263b debt
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Export-Import Bank of Pakistan launched
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Caretaker Minister for Finance Dr. Shamshad Akhtar inaugurated Export-Import Bank of Pakistan aimed at strengthening external trade, attracting investments, and fostering broader economic growth in the country. “EXIM’s operationalization is a proud moment and a major milestone for us today. It will augment the banking and trade finance landscape as we know,” Finance Minister said while addressing the inauguration ceremony of Export-Import Bank of Pakistan. She further said EXIM’s operationalization is a major milestone and it will augment the banking and trade finance landscape in Pakistan. She highlighted the global impact of EXIM and said these institutions disbursed a staggering 2.5 trillion dollars in trade finance last year. She emphasized the significance of export credit loans, which provide competitive-rate financing to exporters. She also highlighted EXIM’s potential to enhance Pakistani exporters’ competitiveness globally through provisions like lending, credit insurance, and guarantee services. Dr. Akhtar emphasized the diverse portfolio of products offered by EXIMs, particularly underscoring the significance of export credit loans that provide competitive-rate financing to exporters. She stated that as EXIM Pakistan grows, it will play a crucial role in promoting trade finance through a well-structured institutional framework and effective policies.
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Pakistan's information technology (IT) exports rose by nine percent month-on-month to $259 million in November 2023, the highest level in the past 12 months. The increase was mainly driven by a relaxation in the permissible retention limit by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), which allowed IT exporters to keep 50 percent of their foreign earnings in their specialized accounts, up from 35 percent previously. A stable rupee also encouraged IT companies to repatriate their foreign income and deposit it in local accounts. The IT minister previously said that IT companies had parked an estimated $1-2 billion outside of Pakistan, which could be brought back to boost the country's foreign exchange reserves. The IT export figure reflects the amount remitted back to Pakistan by technology companies, which provide services such as software development, web design, data processing, and call centers to clients around the world.
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IT exports hit 12-month high in November on easing of forex rules
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Pakistan eyes $10bn rice exports by 2028
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The rice sector is eyeing to increase its exports to $10 billion over the next five years on the back of a regular increase in exportable surplus with growing per acre paddy yield. Data suggests that rice exports would be around 4.5 million tonnes, fetching $2.5 billion in export proceeds during 2023. The export volume increase has been made possible thanks to the production of 9m tonnes of rice, the second highest in the country’s history, due to favourable weather, growers’ resilience, water and fertiliser availability and new markets, says an expert of the rice sector. A critically important aspect is historically higher Basmati production with maximum plantation of premium quality C1121 variety in Pakistan. Pakistan Hitech Hybrid Seed Association Chairman and member of the Export Advisory Council (non-textile) says that rice exports alone can fetch $10bn by 2028 as rice production is continuously on the rise, making available more exportable surplus and that he had discussed a roadmap in this regard in a recent meeting of the council. The rice export may go up to $5bn by 2025 under the roadmap, he adds. Referring to the quantum jump in rice production in Sindh, he says that to date only Sindh has cultivated hybrid varieties, while the whole of Punjab is still open for the production of extra-long grain hybrid varieties to provide a large export surplus.
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After giving it for 50 years, the government on 20th December finally pulled the plug on a hidden export subsidy scheme and approved its transfer to the federal budget. It agreed to phase out the Export Finance Scheme of the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), a requirement of the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) standby arrangement, according to a statement issued by the Ministry of Finance after the meeting. In order to put in place a new arrangement, the ECC gave approval for releasing Rs3.9 billion to Exim Bank in the current fiscal year. Pakistan has agreed with the IMF that it will end the hidden unbudgeted subsidies for exporters and shift them from the central bank to the federal budget. In the first phase, the government has pulled the plug on a short-term export financing scheme. Exporters will still get loans at a rate 3% lower than the key policy rate but the money will be provided by banks and the markup difference will be borne by the federal government. The end-user markup subsidy has been kept at 3% below the SBP’s policy rate, currently standing at 19%, while a 2% spread is kept for banks for arranging commercial liquidity. The subsidy will be provided by the government through Exim Bank. Besides allocating Rs5.7 billion during financial year 2023-24 for the purpose, the government will earmark the markup subsidy annually under the scheme till 2028 for gradual portfolio shift.
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Govt to phase out export financing
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Pakistan inks $1.2 billion loan agreement with ADB
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The Asian Development Bank (ADB) confirmed that it has inked a $1.2 billion loan agreement with Pakistan. The agreement, signed on December 15, provisions budget funding and initiatives focused on domestic resource mobilisation and also features six projects aimed towards the financial independence of women. Out of the total $1.2 billion, at least one-third of the funds will be shelled out as budget financing and clear the way for jammed financing pipelines after Pakistan's agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The Economic Affairs Division (EAD) and ADB signed the loan agreements on December 15. An EAD official also confirmed the agreement and highlighted that ADB will allocate $400 million from the total fund for budget support via two different agreements. World Bank approves $350 million in financing Meanwhile, the executive directors' board of the World Bank also approved $350 million in financing today for the Second Resilient Institutions for Sustainable Economy (RISE-II) Operation to strengthen fiscal management and promote competitiveness for sustained and inclusive economic growth.
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Pakistan has filed a lawsuit against a foreign company for failing to supply liquefied natural gas (LNG) as per a five-year agreement, causing the country to suffer millions of dollars in losses. The International Arbitration Court in London was expected to hear the case next month on Pakistan's request. The un named foreign company did not deliver LNG cargoes as agreed and sold them to richer countries at a higher profit. Pakistan had to buy the most expensive LNG in the region due to the cancellation of LNG cargoes. The agreement with the foreign company was equivalent to 11.62 percent of the Brent price and was valid till 2022.
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Pakistan sues foreign company over LNG supply breach
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PTCL acquires 100pc shares of Telenor Pakistan for Rs108bn
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The Pakistan Telecommunication Company Ltd (PTCL) said on it has signed a share purchase agreement with Telenor Pakistan to buy 100 per cent of its shares based on an enterprise value of Rs108 billion ($380 million). The deal, structured on a cash-free, debt-free basis, is subject to regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions, the PTCL said in a statement. PTCL’s share price rose 8.3 per cent. The company said it is “actively working towards a smooth transition process to ensure minimal disruption for employees, customers, and other stakeholders”. Hatem Bamatraf, president and group CEO of PTCL and Ufone, hoped the deal would result in “enhanced value for our customers and stakeholders as they are the ultimate beneficiaries of this transaction”. PTCL, which holds 100pc stake in Ufone and U Microfinance Bank, is 62pc owned by the government of Pakistan and 26pc by the UAE telecom operator Etisalat. Telenor Pakistan, launched 18 years ago, has 45.2 million customers, according to the Pakistan Telecommunication Authority (PTA). This suggests that Ufone, which has 25.2m subscribers, will have over 70.4m users after the deal, almost equal to those of Jazz, which acquired Warid Telecom some eight years ago.
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Pakistan and China have signed several memoranda of understanding (MoUs) for a hefty investment of $10 billion in four major export-oriented sectors signifying a robust commitment to the country’s economic growth. The joint ventures (JVs) are aimed at establishing industries in key sectors including textiles, agriculture, food, and car spare parts manufacturing, Caretaker Commerce Minister Mr. Gohar said while talking to media. The MoUs were signed between the private sectors of the two countries. The minister has said that he plans to visit China on Jan 15 for subsequent discussions with Chinese investors. These potential investors are scheduled to visit Pakistan in February to deepen their engagement with local partners and finalise their investment plans in special economic zones. Under the proposed joint ventures, there will be a complete Chinese investment. Investors in the textile, food, agriculture, and automobile parts sectors will add value to exports to China and other countries. Furthermore, these investors can take advantage of the preferential market access under the Generalised System of Preferences Plus scheme to the European market. This presents a significant opportunity for exporters to gain duty-free access to European markets. Mr Gohar revealed that a protocol has been signed with a Chinese investor to cultivate peanuts across 10,000 acres of the Cholistan desert. The peanuts will be exclusively grown for export purposes.
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MoUs signed for $10bn Chinese investment
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