Tensions between Pakistan and Japan are escalating over alleged ‘forced’ car exports, with the potential for the dispute to be taken to the World Trade Organization (WTO). This development follows Pakistan’s directive to its three major Japanese car assemblers—Indus Motor Company (Toyota), Honda Atlas Cars Pvt. Ltd, and Pak Suzuki Motors Limited—to increase their export activities, a demand seen by Japan as a violation of WTO regulations. The controversy centers around the Auto Industry Development and Export Policy (AIDEP) 2021-26, which enforces a gradual increase in export obligations for automobile manufacturers in Pakistan, setting targets that reach 10% of their total imports by 2025-26. The car manufacturers argue that Pakistani exports face significant hurdles, including additional tariffs, the absence of Free Trade Agreements, and limited avenues for exporting right-hand drive vehicles. One critical challenge cited by the manufacturers is the scarcity of local raw materials, particularly in metal and rubber processing, which could potentially enhance the competitiveness of Pakistani cars in the global market. Japan has formally expressed its concerns through multiple channels, including Pakistan’s WTO and Tokyo missions and its Commerce and Industries ministries, arguing that the forced export policy infringes on WTO agreements. Pakistan maintains that its actions are in compliance with WTO rules. The issue is set for bilateral discussions between the two governments, with the possibility of escalation to the WTO if a mutual agreement is not reached. The WTO dispute resolution process may be invoked if Japan remains dissatisfied with Pakistan’s justifications, potentially leading to formal proceedings.
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Dispute Escalates Over ‘Forced’ Car Exports
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IMF ready to discuss with Pakistan next programme in ‘coming months’
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The International Monetary Fund has said that its executive board meeting is expected to take place later this month, which will likely consider Pakistan’s second and final review under the Stand-By Arrangement. The Fund’s staff and the Pakistani authorities reached a staff-level agreement on March 19, and it’s now subject to approval by the executive board. Upon approval by the Board, Pakistan will have access to around 1.1 billion dollars, bringing total disbursement under the SBA to about $3 billion. “We do expect the board meeting to take place in late April,” Julie Kozak said during the press briefing. Responding to a question about Pakistan’s economy and the SBA status, she said that the staff-level agreement recognizes the strong programme implementation by the State Bank of Pakistan and the caretaker government in recent months, as well as the new government’s intentions for ongoing policy and reform efforts to move Pakistan from stabilization to a strong and sustainable recovery. “Pakistan’s economic and financial improvement has improved in the months since the first review was completed. Growth and confidence are continuing to recover,” she said. She told the media that the IMF will release the latest growth forecasts for Pakistan as part of its World Economic Outlook in a couple of weeks.
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A high-level meeting of Pakistan, Russia, and Central Asian Republics (CARs) is likely to be held on April 23-24, 2024 to discuss the financing of the Uzbekistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan (UAP) rail project. This was revealed at a meeting of the Afghanistan CARs/Azerbaijan Inter-Ministerial Coordination Cell (ACICC) presided over by the Foreign Affairs secretary. On the UAP rail project, the representative of the Ministry of Railways informed that the roadshow was held in Tashkent on February 6, 2024, attended by Uzbekistan, Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Qatar to discuss matters of financing. Pakistan informed that USD 1 million has already been spent on pre-feasibility study and a detailed report has been prepared by E&Y Consultants. It would be better to start the construction work instead of initiating another feasibility study.
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Pakistan, Russia, CARs: meeting on UAP rail plan likely on April 23-24
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IP gas line project: Pakistan starts working to materialise 80-km pipeline
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Prior to the visit of Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi likely on April 22, the authorities concerned have started working to materialise 80-km pipeline from Gwadar to a point where it will get connected with the pipeline in Iranian territory. The official said laying down 80-km pipeline is necessary to avoid arbitration in France and an expected penalty of $18 billion. The project was to be completed by December 31, 2014, and it was to become operational from January 1, 2015. Iran and Pakistan signed the Gas Sales and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) in June 2009 and Operations Agreement in March 2010, he said. The project has been facing delays since 2014. The official said, “Pakistan received the last notice in early January 2024. Iran had asked Pakistan in Nov-Dec 2022 in its second notice to construct a portion of gas line project in its territory till Feb-March 2024 or be ready to pay a penalty of $18 billion.” Before that, Tehran sent a notice to Islamabad in Feb 2019 to move an arbitration court for not laying down the pipeline in Pakistan territory in the stipulated period under the IP gas line project. It threatened to invoke the penalty clause of Gas Sales Purchase Agreement (GSPA), he said. The GSPA was signed in 2009 for 25 years but the project could not take shape, he added. Once the revalidation of survey and FEED is completed, the official said, the process of land acquisition would kick off. After that, the Engineering, Procurement and Construction (EPC) contract will be awarded.
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Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman (MBS) especially invited Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and his delegation to an Iftar at Al-Safa Palace here on Sundary 7th April. Shehbaz landed in Saudi Arabia on Saturday on a three-day visit from April 6 to 8. The premier performed Umrah soon after arriving in Makkah. “Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman hosts an Iftar at Al-Safa Palace in Makkah, attended by the Prime Minister of Pakistan and the Crown Prince of Bahrain, where they all broke their fast together,” reported Saudi Gazette. During the premier’s visit, multiple development projects would be finalised, whereas bilateral cooperation in several sectors, including agriculture, continues between the two countries, said the sources. They said Saudi Arabia was expected to invest $1 billion in the Reko Diq project. Pakistan and KSA have longstanding fraternal relations rooted in religious and cultural affinity.
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Shehbaz, MBS hold one-on-one meeting, resolve to boost ties
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Seven wheat vessels berthed at Karachi Port
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The Karachi Gateway Terminal Multipurpose Limited (KGTML) has informed the Ministry of Ports and Shipping that it has successfully achieved the berthing of seven wheat bulk-carrier vessels across berths 11-17 on the East Wharf of Karachi Port. In a letter to the ministry, KGTML has stated that this achievement has been made possible through the introduction of efficient operational design, technological integration, and best practices leveraging Abu Dhabi Ports Group’s global experience. It said that historically, cargo trucks had a waiting time of two-three days for ship to unload and cargo to be relayed to the right truck, increasing costs and time. However, KGTML has reduced this cost element to just one day. KGTML launched its operations in February 2024 and informed the ministry that efficient handling is a result of modern operational design of the cargo yard, including a dedicated truck holding area, digitalisation of truck-in and truck-out times, labelling of trucks for accurate loading bay allocation, and installation of weighbridges to streamline end-to-end yard operations. It added that KGTML is now able to berth seven cargo ships without any traffic congestion at the terminal.
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The Pakistan Cotton Ginners Association (PCGA) reported that the country produced 8.397 million bales in 2023-24, a 71 per cent increase over the preceding year. However, the output fell short by a record 3.873m bales or 32pc against the target fixed for the year. The PCGA said cotton production in Punjab was 4.282m bales while in Sindh it was 4.115m bales. Of the total output, according to the report, textile mills bought 8.043m bales from ginning factories, while exporters bought 2.93m bales and 60,500 bales are still available with the ginning factories. Cotton Ginners Forum Chairman Ihsanul Haq says that cotton production in Sindh is surprisingly 114,000 bales more than the target. At the same time, production in Punjab has decreased extraordinarily, mainly due to adverse weather conditions and whitefly cotton. “It has been an unusual attack on the crop.” He says that due to heavy taxes imposed on the ginning and textile industry, some factories and textile mills across the country did “off-the-record” trade in cotton during the year. He claims that the volume of this “off-the-record” trade amounts to at least two million bales, which is why the total domestic production of cotton is considered to be around 10.5 million bales.
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Cotton production increases 71pc
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Saudi Arabia to acquire shareholding of OGDC & PPL
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To bolster Pakistan's energy sector and strengthen economic ties between the two nations, Saudi Arabia will most likely acquire shares in Pakistan's leading energy giants, Oil and Gas Development Company Limited (OGDCL) and Pakistan Petroleum Limited (PPL). Moreover, Saudi Arabia is poised to inject a substantial sum, reportedly around $1 billion, into Pakistan's Reko Diq, one of the world’s largest undeveloped copper and gold deposits, further underscoring its commitment to investing in Pakistan's strategic projects. Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif has taken proactive steps by forming a high-level committee tasked with overseeing the investment process of Reko Diq. The project, in the Baluchistan region bordering Afghanistan and Iran, is capable of producing 200,000 tons of copper and 250,000 ounces of gold a year for more than half a century. Reko Diq is 50% owned by Barrick, with Pakistan’s federal government holding a 25% stake and the Balochistan regional government owning the rest.
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Pakistan is putting on the block a stake ranging from 51% to 100% of loss-making national carrier Pakistan International Airlines PIA, the privatisation panel said on April 2nd, as part of reforms urged by the IMF. The disposal of the flag carrier is a step past elected governments have steered away from as likely to be highly unpopular, but progress on the privatisation will help cash-strapped Pakistan pursue further funding talks with the IMF. In a newspaper advertisement, the panel set a deadline of May 3 to receive statements of interest in PIA, which has piled up arrears of hundreds of billions of rupees, and it appointed EY Consulting as the financial adviser for the deal. “The restructured PIA is being offered to potential investors in its ‘debt-lite’ new structure for a 51%-plus stake,” the Privatisation Commission said in a website presentation. The panel aimed to sign a share price deal by June 24, after completing all steps in the transaction, it added. “The restructured PIA provides an opportunity to invest in a full-service airline.” The IMF wants reforms to State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) that more clearly define ownership and government roles. Shares of the airline PIA dropped 7.5% in intra-day trade to hit the lower limit, after soaring more than 403% in the last six months.
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Pakistan canvasses interest in purchase of stake in PIA
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Refineries set to resume fuel oil export after local demand wanes
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The refining sector is set to resume exporting furnace oil as one of the refineries recently received approval from the Oil & Gas Regulatory Authority (OGRA) to export 25,000 tonnes of High Sulphur Furnace Oil (HSFO), industry officials said. The permission, detailed in an OGRA letter, comes after Cnergyico Pk Limited (CPL) requested to export fuel oil, with the shipment expected by April 5, 2024. Following in the footsteps of the CPL, Pakistan Refinery Limited (PRL) has also sought permission from OGRA to export fuel oil and, according to industry officials, PRL is waiting for the approval, which is expected to be granted in the next few days. "Pak-Arab Refinery Limited (PARCO) is also in the process of exporting 50,000 tonnes of fuel oil after its stocks exceeded 100,000 tonnes," the official said. The refineries exported a record 522,000 tonnes of fuel oil in the first seven months of the current financial year; however, they stopped exports in February after the fuel oil was consumed locally. Presently, the local refineries are sitting on over 224,752 tonnes of fuel oil, the total stocks in the country exceed 500,000 tonnes.
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