Pakistan State Oil (PSO) has cancelled approximately 400,000 MT of diesel imports since January 2024 in view of surplus high speed diesel (HSD) in the country. “Regarding the surplus of HSD (high speed diesel) in Pakistan, we must emphasise the severity of the recent decline in diesel sales," the company said in a statement. "This isn't a mere fluctuation but a critical issue, as the rampant smuggling of diesel not only undercuts legal sales but also inflates our inventory levels." The company said the situation is causing significant financial strain and sustainability challenges for the entire industry, including refineries and Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs). PSO has been particularly affected, grappling with unprecedented low sales and consequent operational pressures and it is crucial to understand that the current year’s drop-in diesel sales – approximately 30 percent compared to the past two years – is multifaceted, it added. PSO said that compounding these challenges, there has been an unexpected rise in production from local refineries. Whereas the typical production rate hovers around 350,000 metric tonnes monthly, refineries have increased output to roughly 400,000 metric tonnes and are projecting to boost production to 500,000 metric tonnes in the near future. "In a proactive response to this complex scenario, PSO has made strategic decisions to mitigate the impact, including the cancellation of approximately 400,000 metric tonnes of diesel imports since January 2024." “Our import operations are conducted under a long-standing, government-to-government contract with Kuwait Petroleum Corporation (KPC), predicated on biannual demand projections and local production quotas."
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PSO cancels 400,000T of diesel imports as surplus mounts
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Government sets sights on bumper cotton crop with 29 percent output increase for FY24-25
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The government has set a cotton crop production target of 10.8 million bales for the upcoming season of FY2024-25, aiming to revitalise a sector that has faced challenges in recent years. Cotton, a linchpin of Pakistan's textile industry, has struggled to meet production goals, consistently falling below 10 million bales in recent years. In FY2023-24, the total cotton output was 8.336 million bales which was over 72 percent more than FY2022-23’s production. Notably, in 2022 floods wreaked havoc on the cotton supply and production.
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SAUDI Arabia is moving closer to a potential deal to acquire a minority stake in the Reko Diq gold and copper mining project. Investment company of Saudi sovereign wealth fund, plans to invest at least $1 billion in the Reko Diq project, controlled by the Canadian mining firm Barrick Gold Corporation. An official announcement to this affect is expected in near future. Deliberations are ongoing, and talks could still fall apart or be delayed.
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Saudi moves closer to $1bn Reko Diq deal
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Iran's president visits and signing of 8 MOUs
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April 22, 2024 Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi accompanied by his spouse and a high-level delegation, comprising the foreign minister and other cabinet members along with senior officials and a large business delegation visited Pakistan on an official visit from April 22 to 24. Raisi’s visit was the first by any head of state to Islamabad after the February 8 polls. During his visit, the guest held meetings with Pakistani leadership, including President, Prime Minister, Senate Chairman, National Assembly Speaker as well as the provincial leadership. The two countries mulling over a wide-ranging agenda to further strengthen the bilateral ties and boost cooperation in various fields, including trade, connectivity, energy, agriculture and people-to-people contacts. Pakistan and Iran have agreed to increase the volume of bilateral trade to $10 billion in the next five years following the signing of as many as eight agreements and memorandums of understanding (MoUs) for cooperation in different areas. Speaking after witnessing the signing of the agreements and MoUs between the two sides, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said that a fruitful discussion was held between the two sides including security and investment during the meeting. The premier said that these relations would now be used for the prosperity, mutual benefit, and welfare of the people of both sides as this day provides an opportunity for development.
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Two significant milestones were achieved in the restructuring of the Pakistan International Airlines Corporation Limited (PIACL) on 20th and 21st April 2024 as the shareholders and creditors Scheme of Arrangement filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP). As a part of the privatisation process, the federal cabinet approved legal segregation and restructuring of the PIACL, following which a Scheme of Arrangement (SoA) was filed in SECP on 28th March 2024. As a regulatory requirement by the SECP to restructure the PIACL, the SoA was required to be approved by the shareholders and creditors of the PIACL. The blueprint of the restructuring was presented to the shareholders of the PIACL during the extraordinary general meeting held on 20th April 2024, which was overwhelmingly approved by the shareholders with 99.97 per cent votes cast in favour. Likewise, in the creditor’s meeting of the PIACL creditors held on 21st April 2024, the restructuring plan and SoA were endorsed by the creditors. The restructuring will deliver a significantly debt-lite PIA, with better cash flows, focused on aviation and providing a foundation for future growth to potential investors, while ensuring value creation for shareholders.
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PIA restructuring: 2 milestones achieved
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Auto financing keeps plunging
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Consumers remained reluctant to avail costly auto financing, which consequently plunged for the 21st consecutive month ending March 2024 to Rs239 billion, down by 1.4 per cent or Rs3.5bn month-on-month. According to data issued by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the total decline in the last 21 months stood at Rs128bn, down from Rs368bn at the end of June 2022. Expensive financing, due to a 22 per cent interest rate, high monthly loan instalments, and the unbearable prices of vehicles, coupled with consumers’ thin buying power and the SBP’s curbs on financing to soften vehicle demand, have collectively impacted car financing. Sales of cars, LCVs, pickups, and jeeps totaled 69,078 units during 9MFY24, down from 110,898 in the same period last fiscal year. Auto assemblers have attempted to lure customers through various incentive schemes such as lower mark-up rate options, attractive sales packages, after-sales services, and discounts on vehicle registration, but they have failed to attract a large number of buyers.
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For the first time in six years, the number of cellular subscribers in Pakistan has declined even though the penetration of 4G has increased across the country, according to data released. The total cellular subscriptions in Pakistan fell by over 3.7 million during 2023 to close at 190.9m, down 1.9pc from 194.6m in 2022, according to the annual ‘State of Apps’ report for Pakistan, jointly released by Data Darbar, a data and market intelligence platform and UAE streaming platform Begin. As per the report, the dip in the number of cellular subscribers was the “first instance” in at least six years, “and possibly on record”. “This is part of the telecom industry’s conscious drive to get rid of low-value customers and focus on segments with better monetary returns,” the report said, adding that this pivot means companies moving from voice to data subscribers. An indication of this shift was the growth of mobile broadband subscriptions, which rose 7.5pc to 124.4m in FY23. The growth was also supported by the falling price of mobile data, with the average cost of 1GB of data plunged by 71.4pc to Rs32.8, compared to Rs114 in 2018. The overall penetration of broadband — both fixed and mobile connections — increased to 53.6pc in 2023, up from 51pc the year before. The report also showed that the government’s attempts to boost local mobile phone manufacturing failed to yield promising results.
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Data shows first-ever fall in cellular users
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969MW Neelum-Jhelum project in trouble, again
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The 969-megawatt Neelum-Jhelum Hydropower Project (NJHP), completed at an estimated approved cost of more than Rs510 billion, has been partially closed once again within days of its full capacity utilisation after almost 20-month-long repair works. The project was closed in July 2022 due to major cracks in its 3.5km tailrace tunnel (TRT), which was repaired over the next 13 months. Power generation started again in August-September 2023, attaining its maximum 969MW capacity on March 29, as announced by the Water & Power Development Authority (Wapda). Within a week, on April 3, the 48km-long headrace tunnel (HRT) dropped pressure, and power generation fell to about 400MW “soon after the project was restored to full capacity by international contractors because of debris or cracks in HRT”, according to inside sources. They said the project authorities and contractors, in consultation with the Wapda management, tried in-house emergency measures to restore the project but the fault was bigger than anticipated, although generation had increased since then. An official said a remotely controlled vehicle would need to be arranged abroad, most probably from China, to trace and potentially address the fault.
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The World Bank will provide a $1 billion loan for the 2,160 megawatts Dasu hydropower project—a crucial initiative aimed at integrating cheaper electricity into Pakistan’s energy mix and showcasing the nation’s resilience against adversaries. This marks the third major financing by the World Bank for the project, which has faced delays and endured at least two terrorist attacks. Government sources disclosed that the Board of Directors of the Washington-based lender is set to approve the $1 billion loan package in June, slightly delayed from the tentative third-week-of-May timeline. China Gezhouba Group Company (CGGC) serves as the contractor for the Dasu Hydropower Project, funded by the World Bank and a consortium of commercial banks. According to a World Bank project document, the lender will extend an additional $1 billion in loans through its International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) and the International Development Association (IDA). This constitutes the third major financing by the lender for the project, which also secured $588.4 million for preparatory works and an additional $700 million for constructing the transmission line to transmit electricity from the project. The World Bank now estimates the project’s total cost at $4.9 billion, a 13% increase from previous estimates of $4.3 billion.
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World Bank to give Dasu project $1b
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Despite foreign exchange difficulties, Pakistan has successfully made timely repayment of foreign debt amounting to $ 1 billion on maturity of international bond on Friday, the State Bank of Pakistan reported. The SBP has executed the repayment of $1 billion (including principal and interest) on April 12, against a 10-year Eurobond, launched in 2014 and matured in April 2024. The payment was made to the agent bank for onward distribution to the bondholders, the SBP said. This repayment has reduced the stock of the external debt acquired through sale of Eurobonds and Sukuks in international markets below $7 billion mark. Previously, despite facing a foreign exchange reserves crisis, Pakistan had made a repayment of Eurobond worth $1 billion in December.
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New players are setting their sights on introducing hybrid as well as electric vehicles (EVs) in the country, and one of the largest automakers has announced its entry into Pakistan. The BYD Group of China has recently announced its entry into the passenger vehicle market in Pakistan in collaboration with Mega Conglomerate Pvt Ltd. During a signing ceremony recently held in China, Aly Khan, executive director of Mega, highlighted plans to promote EV adoption in Pakistan.” He stated that three BYD showrooms would be established in Karachi, Lahore, and Islamabad in 2024. The move is expected to accelerate the electrification of Pakistan’s automotive industry, which has largely been based on petroleum fuel. Meanwhile, a senior official of the Ministry of Industries and Production said that BYD and Mega have not applied for the licence to establish an assembly plant in Pakistan. It is more likely that the company and the local partner would import the vehicles into Pakistan, as other EVs, including some European brands, are being sold in the country. There are several models of EVs and hybrid electric cars in the country, but currently, only the Indus Motor Company is manufacturing a hybrid electric vehicle (HEV).
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New players eye Pakistan’s growing hybrid, electric vehicles market
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International Finance Corporation approves $400m for PTCL to buy Telenor
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The International Finance Corporation (IFC) board has approved $400 million in financing for PTCL Group’s purchase of Telenor Pakistan. The decision follows Pakistan Telecommunication Company Ltd.’s (PTCL) signing of a Share Purchase Agreement (SPA) with Telenor Pakistan to acquire a 100 per cent stake in the company on a cash-free, debt-free basis. As the takeover of Telenor Pakistan by the PTCL is in progress, the financing agreements with IFC will be completed by July 31. While the UAE-owned company e&, formerly Etisalat, had management control of the PTCL, sources in the PTCL revealed that the IFC would provide the financing to the Government of Pakistan, which is still the largest shareholder of the PTCL. Currently, there are four players in the telecom sector led by Jazz, Telenor, Zong and Ufone, while Ufone is a subsidiary of the PTCL; after the intended acquisition of Telenor Pakistan, both Ufone and Telenor will be merged to become equally as large as Jazz. The competitors have raised concerns to the CCP over the acquisition of Telenor Pakistan by the PTCL. The acquisition of Telenor by the PTCL will be one of the largest mergers in Pakistan’s telecom sector, as the joint company of Ufone and Telenor Pakistan will bring their subscriber base close to that of Jazz, the largest telecom in the country.
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